https://lecoin.news/tag/prediction-markets/ Prediction and outcome markets. Le Coin. News on every corner: crypto, DeFi, and beyond. Every story names a primary source, a time and a hash. en-us https://lecoin.news/analysis/2026-10-22-elections-digital-assets/ https://lecoin.news/analysis/2026-10-22-elections-digital-assets/ How the 2026 midterms and the 2028 election could shape U.S. digital-asset rules: the stalled Clarity Act, crypto PAC money, candidate records and scenarios, with Kalshi odds as a reference point. Analysis published Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:42:00 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/evening-brief-2026-10-22/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/evening-brief-2026-10-22/ The Central Bank of Ireland fined Coinbase Ireland Limited €3,252,618 over customer-money safeguards, Robinhood said it received Dubai authorization for a 2027 launch, and a Circle shareholder sued Trump and World Liberty. Briefs published Thu, 22 Oct 2026 16:26:25 -0400 https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-22-polymarket-x-withheld-india/ https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-22-polymarket-x-withheld-india/ X's own account data lists India as the one country where Polymarket's account is withheld; what prompted it is not public. Protocols & Policy published Thu, 22 Oct 2026 13:17:50 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-21/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-21/ Bank Negara Malaysia switched on a distributed-ledger system for tokenized bonds and sukuk settled around the clock in central-bank money, solana's Alpenglow upgrade is set to activate at about 9:20 a.m. ET, and bitcoin was at $83,186.39 at 6:20 a.m. ET, 0.83% above Tuesday's 4:00 p.m. ET close, per CoinGecko. Briefs published Wed, 21 Oct 2026 09:36:56 -0400 https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/utah-sues-kalshi-susquehanna/ https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/utah-sues-kalshi-susquehanna/ After winning in federal court, Utah's attorney general has taken Kalshi and its trading partners to state court, seeking an injunction and the return of fees. Protocols & Policy published Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:16:27 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-19/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-19/ The CFTC's exclusion of sportsbook and casino bets from its swap definition takes effect today with its Federal Register publication, starting a comment period through Nov. 18 on it and a companion event-contract proposal, while bitcoin sits 1.30% above Friday's 4:00 p.m. ET level on CoinGecko data after a Sunday-afternoon dip. Briefs published Mon, 19 Oct 2026 08:01:14 -0400 https://lecoin.news/learning-hub/prediction-markets/ https://lecoin.news/learning-hub/prediction-markets/ Both sell contracts that pay a fixed amount if an event happens, but they differ on who records trades, who decides outcomes and how the CFTC oversees them. Learning Hub published Fri, 16 Oct 2026 21:10:33 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/evening-brief-2026-10-16/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/evening-brief-2026-10-16/ Bitcoin was at $81,506.05 at the 4:00 p.m. ET close of the US session, 0.98% below Thursday at the same time and its lowest 4:00 p.m. ET level since Sept. 20, per CoinGecko; the CFTC's event-contract proposal and casino-style rule are set to publish in Monday's Federal Register; and Schwab said its crypto accounts are now open to all eligible retail clients. Briefs published Fri, 16 Oct 2026 16:36:34 -0400 https://lecoin.news/markets/2026-10-14-cpi-crypto/ https://lecoin.news/markets/2026-10-14-cpi-crypto/ Consumer prices rose 0.6% in September on an energy jump, with core up 0.3%. Kalshi traders put a 31% chance, as of 2:16 p.m. ET, on an October rate hike, and bitcoin and ether are lower since the 8:30 a.m. ET release. Markets published Wed, 14 Oct 2026 14:27:52 -0400 https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-14-starkware-offmarket-polymarket-privacy/ https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-14-starkware-offmarket-polymarket-privacy/ The web app parks USDC in a zero-knowledge pool on Starknet, then bridges it to a fresh Polygon wallet for each bet. The trades stay public on Polymarket; what it hides is who funded them. An auditing entity holds every user's viewing key in escrow, and U.S. persons are barred. Protocols & Policy published Wed, 14 Oct 2026 11:19:38 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-14/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-14/ Bitcoin is flat on Coinbase since Tuesday's U.S. close with September CPI due at 8:30 a.m. ET, Farside shows U.S. spot ether ETFs took in $24.8 million Tuesday after 10 straight outflow sessions, and EDGAR filings show Strive launching a 15% SATS preferred and Consensys Software selling its entire direct SharpLink stake. Briefs published Wed, 14 Oct 2026 08:00:00 -0400 https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-13-nfl-supreme-court-kalshi-brief/ https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-13-nfl-supreme-court-kalshi-brief/ In an Oct. 8 amicus brief in Flaherty v. KalshiEX, No. 26-299, the National Football League asks the justices to hear New Jersey's appeal and side with the Sixth and Ninth Circuits, which held that sports event contracts fall outside the federal definition of a swap. Protocols & Policy published Tue, 13 Oct 2026 13:45:03 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-13/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-13/ Bitcoin is mildly higher on Coinbase since Monday's U.S. close while ether and solana are softer, South Korea's Kospi closed down 5.46% with the Nikkei off 1.82%, and Monday's Farside print extended U.S. spot ether ETF net outflows to 10 straight sessions. Briefs published Tue, 13 Oct 2026 08:00:00 -0400 https://lecoin.news/learning-hub/hyperliquid-hip-4/ https://lecoin.news/learning-hub/hyperliquid-hip-4/ HIP-4 is the fourth Hyperliquid Improvement Proposal. Learning Hub published Mon, 12 Oct 2026 22:05:12 -0400 https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-12/ https://lecoin.news/briefs/morning-brief-2026-10-12/ Majors are higher on Coinbase since Friday's U.S. close but have given back part of the weekend gain, spot ether ETFs logged a ninth straight outflow day on Friday, and Evernorth's XRPN is set to start trading on Nasdaq Monday. Briefs published Mon, 12 Oct 2026 08:54:16 -0400 https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-09-cftc-self-certs-kalshi-polymarket/ https://lecoin.news/protocols-policy/2026-10-09-cftc-self-certs-kalshi-polymarket/ Kalshi self-certified a stock-index future with no expiry date and Polymarket US self-certified yes-or-no contracts on drug prices and food-stamp enrollment, so each exchange attests its contract complies with the law and the CFTC can step in only after the filing. Protocols & Policy published Fri, 09 Oct 2026 20:03:00 -0400